Uko Pakistan yigaruriye icyizere cya Donald Trump akayigira umuhuza utari witezwe mu ntambara ya Iran
Uruhare rwa Pakistan mu kugerageza guhuza impande zihanganye muri iyi ntambara rwabaye nk’urutunguranye kuri benshi, ariko iyo usesenguye neza, si ibintu byari bitagomba gutungura.
Umugaba Mukuru w’ingabo za Pakistan, Maréchal Asim Munir, afitanye umubano mwiza cyane na Donald Trump. Uyu wahoze ayobora Amerika akunze kumuvuga neza, akamushyira mu bayobozi akunda kandi yizeye, ndetse aherutse no kuvuga ko Munir azi neza ibijyanye na Iran kurusha benshi.
Pakistan na Iran basanzwe ari abaturanyi, basangiye umupaka muremure ugera hafi kuri kilometero 900. Uretse kuba ari abaturanyi, bafitanye n’umubano wa hafi ushingiye ku muco, ku mateka ndetse no ku idini.
Igituma Pakistan igaragara nk’umuhuza wihariye ni uko itari mu bihugu bifite ibirindiro bya gisirikare by’Amerika, kandi ntiyigeze igira uruhande ibogamiraho muri iyi ntambara. Ibi bituma igaragara nk’igihugu gishobora kuganira n’impande zombi nta kubogama.
Nubwo bimeze bityo, hari abashidikanya ku bushobozi bwa yo, bitewe n’uko isanzwe ifitanye ibibazo n’ibihugu biyikikije nk’Afghanistan n’Ubuhinde. Mu minsi ishize, Pakistan yagabye ibitero muri Afghanistan, kandi umubano wayo n’Ubuhinde na wo wigeze kuzamba ku buryo buteye impungenge.
Muri iki gihe, Pakistan iri kugerageza guhuza Amerika na Iran, ikora ibiganiro bya dipolomasi mu buryo buhoraho, yakira intumwa ziturutse mu bindi bihugu by’Abarabu, ndetse inashyiraho imbaraga mu kohereza ubutumwa hagati y’impande zombi.
Ariko iki gikorwa gifite ingaruka zishobora kuba zikomeye kuri Pakistan. Iki gihugu gikeneye cyane ibikomoka kuri peteroli biva hanze, kandi byinshi binyura mu muhora wa Hormuz. Ibi bituma ifite inyungu zikomeye mu kubona amahoro agaruka muri aka karere.
Mu rwego rwo kugabanya ingaruka z’izamuka ry’ibiciro bya peteroli, Pakistan yamaze kuzamura ibiciro by’ibikomoka kuri peteroli hafi 20%, ndetse ifata n’izindi ngamba zirimo kugabanya iminsi y’akazi ku bakozi ba Leta.
Abasesenguzi bavuga ko iyo intambara ikomeje, ubukungu bwa Pakistan bushobora guhura n’ibibazo bikomeye kurushaho.
Hari kandi impungenge z’uko ishobora gukwegerwa muri iyi ntambara, cyane cyane bitewe n’amasezerano ifitanye na Arabie Saoudite, ateganya ko igihugu kimwe gitewe, ikindi kigomba kugifasha.
Ikindi kibazo ni umutekano w’imbere mu gihugu, kuko hari abaturage benshi bashyigikiye Iran, nk’uko byagaragaye mu myigaragambyo yabaye nyuma y’ibitero byagabwe kuri bamwe mu bayobozi.
Ku rundi ruhande, Pakistan ishobora no kungukiramo mu rwego rwa dipolomasi mpuzamahanga. Iramutse ibashije gufasha mu kugera ku masezerano, byayizamura cyane ku rwego mpuzamahanga.
Hari n’abavuga ko Pakistan iri gukoresha neza umubano wayo na Trump, ndetse ikaba yaranamushyigikiye mu bihe byashize, harimo no kumushyira mu batoranyijwe ku gihembo cy’amahoro cyitiriwe Nobel.
Ibi byose byafashije Pakistan kongera gukomera mu mubano wayo na Amerika, bituma ibonwa nk’umuhuza ushobora kwizerwa.
Byongeye, Pakistan iragerageza kugumana umubano mwiza n’ibihugu byinshi icyarimwe, aho kudashyigikira uruhande rumwe gusa bifatwa nk’ingamba nziza mu bihe bya politiki mpuzamahanga y’ubu.
Nubwo iri kugerageza cyane, kugera ku masezerano y’amahoro hagati y’Amerika na Iran bikomeje kuba ingorabahizi, bitewe no kutizerana gukomeye hagati y’impande zombi.
Abasesenguzi bavuga ko amahirwe yo gutsinda atari menshi, ariko Pakistan iracyafite amahitamo yo kugerageza, nubwo ishobora no guhura n’ingaruka zikomeye mu gihe ibyo iri gukora bitatanga umusaruro.
